UKCP09 projections - Sea Level / Storm surges, Tides and Wave Height Change (medium emissions, 2080-2090 projections)

What is it: 

These layers show a sub-set of the UKCP09 marine and coastal projections up to 2090s (see layer name for date) using a medium emission scenario and, where appropriate, medium probability. The sub-set chosen are considered to be most relevant to marine planning and management in Scottish waters. The full suite of projections, and all emissions scenarios, can be found on the UKCP09 web site.  An update of the UKCP09 data outputs is planned for 2018.

There are nine layers available for Sea Level , Storminess, Tides and Wave Height Changes:

  1. Rise in Relative Sea Level (medium emissions scenario)
  2. Increase in extreme storm surge water level by 2100 compared to 2000 for the 50-year return surge (medium emissions scenario)
  3. Extreme Water Level by 50-year return period storm surges 1) present day; 2) 2095 projections combined with medium emissions relative sea level rise; and 3) 2095 projections combined with a worst case estimate of relative sea level rise.
  4. Change in Significant Wave Height for 1) winter; 2) spring; 3) summer, and; 4) autumn

All layers © UK Climate Projections, 2009

Links to Scotland's Marine Atlas: 
This information page is part of the theme: 
UKCP09 Projections - Sea Level change (medium emissions-central estimate - projected to 2095) © UK CP09 UK Climate Projections

Links and Resources

Map Type Click title for metadata and licence informationsort descending Date of data View Map
NMPi UKCP09 projections - Change (m) in significant wave height by 2085, compared to 1975, medium emissions scenario – autumn 2009-01-01 Access this map on NMPi
NMPi UKCP09 projections - Change (m) in significant wave height by 2085, compared to 1975, medium emissions scenario – spring 2009-01-01 Access this map on NMPi
NMPi UKCP09 projections - Change (m) in significant wave height by 2085, compared to 1975, medium emissions scenario – summer 2009-01-01 Access this map on NMPi
NMPi UKCP09 projections - Change (m) in significant wave height by 2085, compared to 1975, medium emissions scenario – winter 2009-01-01 Access this map on NMPi
NMPi UKCP09 projections - Extreme water level (cm) - 2095 projection - 50-year return extreme water level above the highest astronomical tide (due to storm surge + medium emissions relative sea level rise) 2009-01-01 Access this map on NMPi
NMPi UKCP09 projections - Extreme water level (cm) - 2095 projection - 50-year return extreme water level above the highest astronomical tide (due to storm surge + worst case relative sea level rise 2009-01-01 Access this map on NMPi
NMPi UKCP09 projections - Extreme water level (cm) - Present day baseline – 50-year return extreme water level above the highest astronomical tide (due to storm surge) 2009-01-01 Access this map on NMPi
NMPi UKCP09 Projections - Increase in extreme storm surge water level (cm) by 2100, compared to 2000, for the 50-year return surge, medium emissions scenario 2009-01-01 Access this map on NMPi
NMPi UKCP09 Projections - Rise in Relative Sea Level (cm), 2095 compared to 1985, medium emissions scenario 2009-01-01 Access this map on NMPi