UKCP09 Projections - Change in number of days of stratification (in days) by 2085, compared to 1975, medium emissions scenario. Negative days mean date moves earlier.

This map layer has been supplied directly by Marine Scotland National Marine Plan interactive. You can obtain additional information about the layer on this page

Marine Scotland Information NMPi icon

UKCP09 is the name given to the UK Climate Projections. UKCP09 provides future climate projections for land and marine regions as well as observed (past) climate data for the UK.This layer is part of the  Stratification Changes sub-set of the UKCP09 marine and coastal projections up to 2090s using a medium emission scenario and, where appropriate, medium probability. It displays the Change in Total Number of Stratified Days to 2085 under a medium emissions scenario.

Summarising the anticipated changes around Scotland based on central estimate projections for 2080-90 using the medium emission scenario for Stratification, it is projected that it will start earlier, possibly by as much as 5 to 10 days. However, there are exceptions to this pattern, such as in the Tay / Forth area, west of the Hebrides, and some other local inshore areas. In the offshore waters, stratification will end later in the year, by possibly as much as 10 to 15 days. In inshore waters again there is quite a complex pattern in the projected changes. The length of the stratified period in offshore waters is generally 10-15 days longer than currently, with some local, inshore variation.

GIS Data Type: 
Web Service Information: 
Base WMS Address: http://msmap1.atkinsgeospatial.com/geoserver/ows/nmp?
Layer name:nmp:stratification_change_total_ukcp09
Does this layer display time aware features: 
No
Usage Licence: 
Usage limitations: 
You agree to use the following acknowledgement on all entire and partial copies of the Data and in any publication, scientific report, paper or other product derived from the Data. © Crown Copyright 2009. The UK Climate Projections (UKCP09) have been made available by the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) and the Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC) under licence from the Met Office, UKCIP, British Atmospheric Data Centre, Newcastle University, University of East Anglia, Environment Agency, Tyndall Centre and Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory. These organisations give no warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy of the UKCP09 and do not accept any liability for loss or damage, which may arise from reliance upon the UKCP09 and any use of the UKCP09 is undertaken entirely at the users risk.