UKCP09 Data licence

IMPORTANT NOTICE: YOU MUST READ THE FOLLOWING BEFORE CONTINUING:

This User Agreement (Licence) is a legal agreement between you and the Secretary of State for the Environment, Food and Rural Affairs of Nobel House, 17 Smith Square, London SW1P 3JR (we, our, us) for use of any of the UK Climate Projections which the user customises in the user interface or downloads from the LINK website (Data).  BY OPENING, DOWNLOADING OR OTHERWISE USING THE DATA YOU AGREE TO BE BOUND BY THE TERMS OF THIS LICENCE. IF YOU DO NOT WANT TO BE BOUND BY THIS LICENCE, THEN YOU SHOULD NOT OPEN, DOWNLOAD OR USE THE DATA.

1. Grant of scope of licence

1.1 In consideration of you agreeing to abide by the terms of this Licence, we hereby grant to you a non-exclusive, non-transferable licence to use the Data on the terms of this Licence, provided that you comply with the terms and conditions in this Licence.

1.2 You will:

1.2.1 use the Data for non-commercial purposes;

1.2.2 use any products derived from the Data for any purpose subject to clause 1.3.3;

1.2.3 reproduce the Data accurately at all times;

1.2.4 identify the source of the Data and include the copyright notice as set out in Schedule 1 on all entire and partial copies you make of the Data on any medium;

1.2.5 acknowledge that the Data is produced on the basis of scientific information known at the relevant time and is subject to change;

1.2.6 use the Data entirely at your own risk;

1.2.7 notify us when a report derived from the Data enters the public domain and permit us to publish the report on the UKCIP, Met Office and our website; and

1.2.8 allow us to inspect copies of any products which include the Data to check that you have kept to the terms of this Licence.  

1.3 You will not nor permit others:

1.3.1 to rent, lease, loan or sell the Data;

1.3.2 to use the Data for the principal purpose of advertising or promoting a particular product or service without our permission, or in a way which could imply endorsement by any government department, or generally in a manner which is likely to mislead others;

1.3.3 to use any products derived from the Data for commercial purposes unless the products fully and prominently acknowledge the source of the Data and include a notice that the Data is available from us without charge; 

1.3.4 to acquire any intellectual property rights in the Data including any update or amendment to the Data by virtue of this Licence; and

1.3.5 to reproduce logos from the website (including but not limited to UKCIP, Met Office, Defra, DECC) without prior permission from the relevant organisation.

1.4  We will not:

1.4.1 warrant that the Data will be error-free;

1.4.2 accept any responsibility for any inaccuracies or omissions in the Data;  

1.4.3 be liable to you (whether for negligence, breach of contract or otherwise) for any loss of data, loss of revenue or anticipated profits, loss of business, loss of opportunity, loss of goodwill or injury to reputation, losses suffered by any third party, or any indirect, consequential, special or exemplary damages whatsoever; and

1.4.4 be bound by all representation, conditions and warranties whether express or implied (by statute or otherwise).

2 Proprietary Rights

2.1 The intellectual property rights in the Data shall remain vested in us and/or third party.

3 Entire Agreement

This Licence constitutes the entire agreement and understanding between the parties in respect of matters dealt with in it and supersedes any previous agreement, understanding, representations or negotiation between the parties relating to such matters.

4 Termination

Each party has the right to terminate this Licence by giving to the other not less than thirty (30) days notice in writing to that effect. On termination of this Agreement, the Licence will automatically terminate and you shall immediately cease all use of the Data and as soon as is practicable either, at our option, return or destroy the Data within your control or possession.

5 Governing Law

This Licence will be governed by and construed in accordance with English law. The English courts will have exclusive jurisdiction over any matter arising under or in connection with this User Agreement.

SCHEDULE 1

Acknowledgement 

You agree to use the following acknowledgement on all entire and partial copies of the Data and in any publication, scientific report, paper or other product derived from the Data.

© Crown Copyright 2009. The UK Climate Projections (UKCP09) have been made available by the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) and the Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC) under licence from the Met Office, UKCIP, British Atmospheric Data Centre, Newcastle University, University of East Anglia, Environment Agency, Tyndall Centre and Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory. These organisations give no warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy of the UKCP09 and do not accept any liability for loss or damage, which may arise from reliance upon the UKCP09 and any use of the UKCP09 is undertaken entirely at the users risk.

licence link: 
UKCP09 Data licence

UKCP09 Projections - Change in sea surface temperature (ºC) by 2085, compared to 1975, medium emissions scenario – spring

Marine Scotland Information NMPi icon

UKCP09 is the name given to the UK Climate Projections. UKCP09 provides future climate projections for land and marine regions as well as observed (past) climate data for the UK.This layer is part of the Sea Surface and Seabed Temperature Change  sub-set of the UKCP09 marine and coastal projections up to 2090s using a medium emission scenario and, where appropriate, medium probability. It displays the change in sea surface temperature for Spring up to 2085 under a medium emissions scenario.

Summarising the anticipated changes around Scotland based on central estimate projections for 2080-90 using the medium emission scenario, sea surface temperature is projected to be between 2 and 2.5ºC warmer although in summer north and west of Scotland may be only 1ºC warmer. The autumn seems to be when most warming will be evident. At the sea bed, warming is similar as at the surface, but only on the shallow continental shelf. In the deep waters surrounding Scotland, off the shelf, temperatures are projected to change very little. There is quite a lot of both regional and seasonal variation in temperature change.

UKCP09 Projections - Percent change in annual mean precipitation, 2080s compared to 1970s, 50% probability level

Marine Scotland Information NMPi icon

UKCP09 is the name given to the UK Climate Projections. UKCP09 provides future climate projections for land and marine regions as well as observed (past) climate data for the UK.This layer is part of the Precipitation and Air temperature sub-set of the UKCP09 marine and coastal projections up to 2090s using a medium emission scenario and, where appropriate, medium probability. It displays the projected change in annual mean precipitation (50% probability level) to 2085 under a medium emissions scenario.

Summarising the anticipated changes around Scotland based on central estimate projections for 2080-90 using the medium emission scenarion for Precipitation (rainfall), over Scotland summers will become up to 20% drier, and winters 20% wetter. Overall, the central estimate is for the annual average rainfall to be about 10% less in the 2080s. There are some regional differences.

UKCP09 projections - Change (m) in significant wave height by 2085, compared to 1975, medium emissions scenario – spring

Marine Scotland Information NMPi icon

UKCP09 is the name given to the UK Climate Projections. UKCP09 provides future climate projections for land and marine regions as well as observed (past) climate data for the UK.This layer is part of the Sea Level / Storm surges, Tides and Wave Height Change sub-set of the UKCP09 marine and coastal projections up to 2090s using a medium emission scenario and, where appropriate, medium probability. It displays the change in significant wave height for spring to 2085 under a medium emissions scenario.

Summarising the anticipated changes around Scotland based on central estimate projections for 2080-90 using the medium emission scenario, significant wave heights north of Scotland will decrease by about 30 cm in the winter.  The other seasons have different patterns of change, although changes are quite small.

UKCP09 projections - Extreme water level (cm) - Present day baseline – 50-year return extreme water level above the highest astronomical tide (due to storm surge)

Marine Scotland Information NMPi icon

UKCP09 is the name given to the UK Climate Projections. UKCP09 provides future climate projections for land and marine regions as well as observed (past) climate data for the UK.This layer is part of the Sea Level / Storm surges, Tides and Wave Height Change sub-set of the UKCP09 marine and coastal projections up to 2090s using a medium emission scenario and, where appropriate, medium probability. It displays the present day baseline of exceedance of the Highest Astronomical Tides by 50-year return period storm surge

Summarising the anticipated changes around Scotland based on central estimate projections for 2080-90 using the medium emission scenario, Storm surges / tides current estimates do not suggest storminess will increase significantly over Scotland making the predictions of increases in storm surge heights over the next 100 years small. For example extreme storm surges with return periods of 2, 10, 20 and 50 years are between about 1 and 3 cm by 2095. There is some regional variation.  Currently, the highest storm surge that may occur in a 50-year period raises the sea surface by between 90 and 180 cm. The effect is least on the east coast and in Shetland, and greatest on the west coast. The central estimate predicts that by 2095, these extreme water levels will have changed very little.

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